# Intraday Market Analysis for July 11, 2024 – Orbex Forex Trading Blog
## Introduction
Welcome to the Orbex Forex Trading Blog, where we provide you with the latest insights and analysis on the forex market. Today, we will delve into the intraday market movements for July 11, 2024. Our analysis will cover major currency pairs, key economic events, and technical indicators to help you make informed trading decisions.
## Major Currency Pairs Analysis
### EUR/USD
The EUR/USD pair experienced a volatile session today. The pair opened at 1.1050 and initially moved higher, reaching an intraday high of 1.1100. However, the pair faced resistance at this level and retraced back to 1.1025 by midday.
**Key Factors:**
– **ECB Meeting Minutes:** The release of the European Central Bank’s meeting minutes revealed a cautious stance on future rate hikes, which initially supported the euro.
– **US Inflation Data:** The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data came in higher than expected at 3.2% year-over-year, boosting the US dollar and causing the EUR/USD pair to decline.
**Technical Indicators:**
– **RSI:** The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 45, indicating neutral momentum.
– **Support and Resistance Levels:** Immediate support is at 1.1000, while resistance is at 1.1100.
### GBP/USD
The GBP/USD pair showed a downward trend throughout the day. The pair opened at 1.2900 and fell to an intraday low of 1.2750.
**Key Factors:**
– **UK GDP Data:** The UK’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate for Q2 was lower than expected at 0.2%, putting pressure on the pound.
– **Brexit Uncertainty:** Ongoing Brexit negotiations continue to weigh on investor sentiment.
**Technical Indicators:**
– **MACD:** The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator shows a bearish crossover, suggesting further downside potential.
– **Support and Resistance Levels:** Immediate support is at 1.2700, while resistance is at 1.2900.
### USD/JPY
The USD/JPY pair traded in a narrow range today. The pair opened at 140.50 and fluctuated between 140.00 and 141.00.
**Key Factors:**
– **BoJ Policy Statement:** The Bank of Japan’s policy statement indicated no change in its ultra-loose monetary policy, which kept the yen under pressure.
– **US Treasury Yields:** Rising US Treasury yields provided support for the US dollar.
**Technical Indicators:**
– **Bollinger Bands:** The pair is trading near the upper Bollinger Band, indicating potential overbought conditions.
– **Support and Resistance Levels:** Immediate support is at 139.50, while resistance is at 141.50.
## Key Economic Events
### US Initial Jobless Claims
The US Initial Jobless Claims data for the week ending July 6th came in at 220,000, slightly higher than the previous week’s 215,000. This data suggests a modest increase in unemployment claims, which could impact future monetary policy decisions by the Federal Reserve.
### Eurozone Industrial Production
Eurozone Industrial Production data for May showed a decline of 0.5% month-over-month, missing expectations of a 0.2% increase. This data highlights ongoing challenges in the Eurozone’s manufacturing sector.
### UK Trade Balance
The UK’s trade balance for May showed a deficit of £3.5 billion, wider than the expected £2.8 billion deficit. This data underscores the challenges faced by the UK economy amid global trade uncertainties.
## Technical Analysis
### Moving Averages
– **EUR/USD:** The 50-day moving average is at 1.1030, while the 200-day moving average is at 1.0950. The pair is currently trading above both moving averages, indicating a potential bullish trend.
– **GBP/USD:** The 50-day moving average is at 1.2850, while the 200-day moving average is at 1.3000. The pair is trading below both moving averages, suggesting a bearish trend.
– **USD/JPY:** The 50-day moving average is at 139.00, while the 200-day moving average is at 137.50. The pair is trading above both moving averages, indicating a bullish trend.
### Fibonacci Retracement Levels
– **EUR/USD:** Key Fibonacci retracement levels are at 1.1020 (38.2%), 1.1050 (50%), and 1.1080 (61.8%).
– **GBP/USD:** Key Fibonacci retracement levels are at 1.2780 (38.2%), 1.2820 (50%), and 1.
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