Manipur, a state in northeastern India, has been plagued by conflict for decades. The state is home to several ethnic groups, each with their own distinct culture and language. The conflict in Manipur is primarily driven by demands for greater autonomy and self-determination by these ethnic groups. The state has also been affected by insurgency and violence perpetrated by various armed groups.
To better understand the conflict in Manipur, the Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED) has been collecting data on conflict events in the state since 2016. ACLED is a non-profit organization that collects and analyzes data on political violence and protest events around the world. In this article, we will examine the ACLED data on Manipur to identify conflict trends and patterns in the state.
According to the ACLED data, there were 1,042 conflict events in Manipur between January 2016 and December 2020. These events resulted in 1,057 fatalities and 1,238 injuries. The majority of the conflict events were related to protests and riots (44%), followed by battles (28%), and violence against civilians (19%). The remaining events were classified as explosions/remote violence (5%) and strategic developments (4%).
The data also reveals that the conflict in Manipur is highly localized. The majority of the conflict events occurred in just four districts – Imphal West, Imphal East, Chandel, and Thoubal. These districts are located in the central and eastern parts of the state and are home to several ethnic groups, including the Meiteis, Nagas, and Kukis.
The ACLED data also shows that the conflict in Manipur is driven by multiple actors. The state government and security forces were responsible for 29% of the conflict events, while armed groups were responsible for 27%. The remaining events were attributed to civilians (22%), unknown actors (16%), and international actors (6%).
The data also reveals that the conflict in Manipur is highly fragmented. There are several armed groups operating in the state, each with their own agenda and tactics. The United National Liberation Front (UNLF) was responsible for the highest number of conflict events (16%), followed by the Kangleipak Communist Party (KCP) (14%) and the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) (12%). Other armed groups, such as the National Socialist Council of Nagaland (NSCN) and the Kuki National Organization (KNO), were responsible for smaller percentages of conflict events.
In terms of conflict trends, the ACLED data shows that the number of conflict events in Manipur has been decreasing since 2018. In 2016, there were 329 conflict events in the state, while in 2020, there were only 139. This trend can be attributed to several factors, including increased security measures by the government and a decline in the activities of some armed groups.
In conclusion, the ACLED data on Manipur provides valuable insights into the conflict in the state. The data shows that the conflict is highly localized, fragmented, and driven by multiple actors. It also reveals that the number of conflict events in Manipur has been decreasing in recent years. This information can be used by policymakers and stakeholders to develop strategies to address the root causes of the conflict and promote peace and stability in the state.
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- Source: Plato Data Intelligence.